From the journal Nature, as they like to say on NPR….
California residents may soon have something else to ponder along with the weather forecast in their morning news. Starting this Wednesday, seismologists are providing them with earthquake forecasts too.
The quake forecasts, which are produced by adding together some of the best models of earthquake activity, aim to tell residents the probability that an earthquake big enough to smash their windows will strike in the next 24 hours. A map of these probabilities will be posted daily at http://pasadena.wr.usgs.gov/step.
A few weeks back, I said in a public venue that I think people worry too much and should just get over it. If you live in a home built to withstand earthquakes, if your office is safe—and these are things a reasonable person would check if they lived in an earthquake zone—why the hell would they want to get an earthquake report every day? “I can’t come in today, there’s a chance the ground is going to shake….”